NFL Week 7 Picks: Fabulous 5
Welcome back for another week of the Fabulous 5 NFL picks against the Las Vegas spread. After making a few adjustments, we were able to go 4-1 on last weeks picks, picking up the win percentage to 57%! Got a little lucky with Aaron Rodgers going down early, but lets counter that with the Chiefs MNF backdoor cover that killed us a couple weeks ago and call it even. After last night's Raiders win, we start 1-0 for Week 7! Before we get to the rest of the picks, here is a summary from last week with my year-to-date-record. Remember, the goal is to finish the season above 55%:
Week 6: 4-1, 80%
Cleveland Browns (+9) - LOSS
New York Jets (+9.5) - WIN
New Orleans Saints (-4) - WIN
Minnesota Vikings (+3) - WIN
Los Angeles Rams (+2.5) - WIN
*** Year-to-date Record 17-13, 57% ***
OAKLAND RAIDERS (+3) - WIN
What is going on in Oakland? An early Super Bowl favorite by many, the Raiders suddenly find themselves on a 4-game losing streak as they host the Kansas City Chiefs. The good news is, Oakland is home and are 6-2 straight up in their last 8 games at the Coliseum. I like the Raiders in this spot to bust out of their slump and come away with an outright win over the Chiefs. Take the points!
CLEVELAND BROWNS (+6)
I know the Browns are a pit of despair but hear me out. I actually don't have a valuable reason of why anyone should take the Browns from the pure football side of things, but let's look at this from a Vegas aspect. I'm making this selection from the view of the bookmakers. The Browns have disappointed bookmakers thus far going 1-5 ATS. The last time they covered was in Week 1 against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Vegas will always try to balance this out because if it was that easy too bet against the Browns every week, we'd all be millionaires. Cleveland welcomes in the Tennessee Titans after coming off a big win on national TV, and everyone loves QB Marcus Mariota. Although Tennessee won 36-22 last week against the Colts, that score is very misleading. The Titans were down going into the 4th quarter and a garbage Derek Henry TD inflated the score. The Titans are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight games on the road. Roll with the Brownies!
mik
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (+3)
After flying all the way out to Arizona and getting whooped up on, the Buccaneers travel north to visit the overrated Buffalo Bills. Yes, the Bills are coming off their bye, but Buffalo is ranked last in the NFL in net yards per play over their last three games. In my opinion, the Bills are going to be that team that surprised everyone early on, only to come crashing back to earth hard. Contender or Pretender? The Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last six games at home in October. Pretender. FIRE THE CANNONS!
CHICAGO BEARS (+3.5)
The scrappy Bears deserve more credit than they get. In my opinion, they've had one of the harder schedules in the NFL and have held their own in each game minus the Tampa stinker (the Green Bay final score is misleading). The Carolina Panthers now come into Soldier Field where Chicago plays their best football and happen to be 7-1 ATS in their last eight games at home. QB Cam Newton and the Panthers have shown too much inconsistency for me and are a mere 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games as road favorites. Oh Bears, you've been so good to me this season, let's keep this love affair going. DAAAAAA Bears.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (PK)
Well you knew they wouldn't stay off my card for too long, right? Somehow this team made it back and I'm feeling pretty good about their chances against the Denver Broncos. The Broncos September fling has come to an end as they were caught snoozing after their bye week on the New York Giants! The Chargers are starting to hit their stride coming off back-to-back wins. In the five games the Broncos have played this season, they have only played one game away from home this year and lost that game to Buffalo. I fully expect this Broncos offense to struggle again because Trevor Siemian is nothing more than a backup in this league. This spread is sketchy to begin with, and looks mighty tasty to squares. Ride the Bolts!
