Southwest: Final Total Wins Projection
Here is my final total wins forecast for the season for each team!
I will give you two win ranges:
Extensive Range: It will be a 10 games range. Example, 29-38 wins.
Definite Range: It will be a 5 games range that is inside the Extensive Range. Example, 31-35 wins.
I am putting my blog on the line here. I need to score 15 points in my projection. The extensive range is worth 1/2 point while the definite range will be a full point.
Today, we will tackle the Southwest division.
DALLAS MAVERICKSExtensive Range: 36 - 45
Definite Range: 40 - 44
Dallas' injuries pushed to their worst start ever and nobody expect them to even reach the 30+ wins level. That could be a pipe dream for them with the look of their roster but Mark Cuban still has belief in his team and I am counting on that.
HOUSTON ROCKETSExtensive Range: 43 - 52
Definite Range: 42 - 46
The Rockets' new exciting style has juiced out a lot of wins this early in the season. James Harden has evolved into one of the top 5 point guards right away after taking the mantle as the quarterback with his 28.3 points, 7.6 rebounds, 11.8 assists and 34.5% 3FG. The shocking thing is, Houston is not actually in the top 10 in terms of pace at #13 and that made me believe that they could slow down latter into the season.
MEMPHIS GRIZZLIESExtensive Range: 42 - 51
Definite Range: 44 - 48
Injuries continue to creep in to the Grizzlies with Conley possible missing 4-8 weeks. One good thing is the current play of Andrew Harrison who is looking like a passable point guard for 20-25 minutes. Gasol and Parson will be there to create plays in the absence of Conley and that should be able to lift they above 50% this season.
NEW ORLEANS PELICANSExtensive Range: 30 - 39
Definite Range: 30 - 34
Anthony Davis continue to do the impossible of carrying the Pelicans to relevancy. Jrue Holiday's return has added more bite to their defense and if coach Gentry adjust their style a little bit, Pelicans could be a top 10 defense. One good numbers that we could pocket is the seventh best assists per game.
SAN ANTONIO SPURSExtensive Range: 57 - 66
Definite Range: 61 - 65
San Antonio has a very unique dilemma in their hands. They are having trouble winning in their home after losing a single game there last season. In a way, it is better to see your team with 0 loss in their road side because it is the harder side to accumulate victories. With a more well-rounded team and with the slow rise of Pau's game, San Antonio should be able to reach the 60s range.
