Nov. 01, 2016
Bowling Green vs. Northern Illinois Tuesday Night Betting Preview (Official)
Bowling Green vs. Northern Illinois kicks off Tuesday night football betting. NIU is a 16.5-17 point favorite with a total of 71.5. The line opened in Vegas and offshore at 15.5 and 70. Thus far, 67 percent of wagers are on Northern Illinois. Bowling Green is 2-6 ATS, though both covers have been on the road. Three of four road contests have exceeded the betting total. Northern Illinois is 3-5 to the number, 1-3 at home. They have gone over 5-3 this season, though under three of the last five games.
According to key metrics used by professional gamblers, Bowling Green especially struggles passing the ball, getting just 6.1 yards per pass to squads generally permitting 6.9 and just 5.0 yards per play to 5.4. They are particularly horrendous on defense allowing 5.0 yards per rush teams normally accumulating 4.6 and 8.9 passing yards per attempt to 7.7, 6.6 yards per play to 6.1.
Pro gambling data suggest NIU is adept at running the ball getting 5.5 yards per carry to teams that permit an average of 4.7, but passing is below average at 6.7 to 7.0. They are above average stopping the run allowing 4.7 yards per carry to teams normally accumulating 5.0, but allow teams to exceed their usual passing yards per attempt by .3.
Spread betting trends (all records are ATS): Bowling Green is 10-2 road versus an opponent with a losing home record, 9-3 in conference, and 41-20 on the road. However, they have dropped 7-of-9 overall and are 1-7 after accumulating less than 100 rushing yards their last game. Northern Illinois is 8-1 off a win of 20 or more, 3-8 overall, 1-6 home. Totals angles: Bowling Green under 9-1 off double-digit home loss, 35-17 conference.
Joe Duffy’s Picks is off a 10-3 week in college football last week. The winningest handicapper in all sports has splendid angles in both college football games. At press time, NBA and NHL was not set, so check out OffshoreInsiders.com for all the winners.