Free Football Pick: Baylor vs. Texas Odds Couple Preview

By offshoreinsiders
Oct. 28, 2016

Texas take on Baylor in a big rivalry game and Joe Duffy of previews it from a handicapper standpoint. Baylor is the ninth best under team in terms of margin of cover or the so-called sweat barometer. The Bea have gone under 5-1 by -8.9 points per game. The Longhorns defense has been serviceable as Texas defense holds teams to .3 yards per play less than normal average. The Bears are better as Baylor holds teams to 1.4 yards per pass and .7 yards per play below normal average.

Rested road favorites of 2.5 or more on five game or better winning streak are just 28-43 ATS for 39.4 percent in the history of Duffy’s database, dating back to 1989.

Texas 3-0 SU and at home, 0-4 away from home SU, 1-3 to number. This is consistent with the home/road splits under head coach Charlie Strong. Overall under Strong, the Horns are 9-6 outright at home but only 5-12 on the road. There is 13 points per game difference in splits insofar as points per game. Texas rallied around Charlie Strong last year, whose job is clearly in serious jeopardy. Baylor typical creampuff schedule as many say this looms as their biggest test.

The Bears are 3.5-point road favorites with a total of 72. It opened at -3 and 70. Joe Duffy and the Odds Couple from SBR Forum break this game down. Duffy says, “I feel so good about this weekend football portfolio. I mean really, good. Three college football Wise Guy plays are up for Saturday. Then on Sunday, we have an NFL but so much more is coming.” The premium picks are at