Slow and Steady Wins the Race
This is it. The final countdown.
With 3 days left in fantasy basketball's regular season, start thinking about how you are going to spend your last few adds. My league gets 4 adds a week - I used my first one on CJ Miles, who has been hitting big 3's after big 3's - valuable to anyone who has a donut on his/her team and wants to drop him for a guy who can score, hit 3's and has solid FG and FT (at least in the last 30 days).
Some of the other folks I have been keeping my eye on are: Buddy Hield, Tony Snell, and Jordan Crawford. Hield has scored in double digits 6 of his last 7 games and gets some 3's and steals. Also has above 50% FG and 82% in the last 30 days. Snell gets minutes but is inconsistent. Pick him up if you are willing to gamble on the fact that he is actually a good player, just can't seem to do it night in and night out. Jordan Crawford has potential and the Pelicans realized they needed people besides Boogie and the Brow to score - pick him up if you like to gamble more than Dan Liu does at the medium stakes Blackjack table.
In terms of the "30 days average" time frame metric that I use - I believe in momentum, whether its in basketball or in stocks or in life. If theres a force and a good amount of mass, the ball is going to keep on rolling. In the past I used the 14-day-average a little more to judge how hot some of the people on the waiver have been, but recently, as fantasy playoffs neared, I realized that I needed to make long-term valuable pickups who were worthy of being on championship teams instead of just picking-up and then dropping players right away again and again (term: Streaming). I like to toggle between the metric and sometimes I even use the 7-day-average to see if there are any really hot new players who have just come back from injury or just signed some short contracts and need to prove themselves (people like Jordan Crawford - if you used this metric well you would have been able to pick up Yogi Ferrell while he was lighting up the league from downtown).
On a side note - Dirk Nowitzki reached 30k points this week. Just take a moment to think about how ridiculous that is. Each NBA season has 82 games. You would need to score 20 points a game, every single game, for 19 straight seasons WITHOUT getting hurt or missing a game in order to reach that ridiculous mark - Chandler Parsons has scored 20 points all year...
Anyways - facebook message me if you need at good advice. Remember to check your leagues drop list on an hourly basis as well as some players may be dropping valuable players just because they are desperate for some short term stats in order to make playoffs (a.k.a. Mason Plumlee, Kent Bazemore, Trevor Booker).
Make sure to stay up to date and add players before midnight. Good luck and stay hungry for that championship. Don't let the villagers beat you out of silly mistakes that could have been avoided by simply making the right adds right before they do.
Last 3 tips - make sure to have favorable matchups and make sure that your players have 4 game weeks in the playoffs and will not have to rest during fantasy playoffs (people like Kawhi, LeBron and Curry who will definitely be periodically rested in the coming weeks).
