Mar. 12, 2018
FullerMetrics NFL Mock Draft 2.0
The combine is complete, meaning every highly-touted prospect has strut their stuff for every franchise. Some players like Jaire Alexander and Mike Gesicki raised their stock, while others disappointed. Orlando Brown was a Top 20 pick, but after his historically awful combine performance, it’s nearly impossible for him to still gain first-round credibility. If the Quarterback situation was confusing before the combine, it’s even more confusing now. Here’s Round Two of my guesses on who’s going to hear their name called in Round One.
1. Cleveland Browns: Sam Darnold, QB, USC
Darnold didn’t throw during the combine, but he’s still miraculously the top pick. Josh Allen was the best Quarterback at the combine, and his name should get more consideration at the top spot, but for some reason his stock on most people’s boards hasn’t risen at all. If I was Cleveland, I’d draft Josh Allen and sign a short-term option like Sam Bradford to ease the pressure on Allen. Then again, I’m not John Dorsey.
2. New York Giants: Saquon Barkley, RB, Penn State
Saquon Barkley put together one of the best combine portfolios of all time. Eli Manning hasn’t dropped off yet, and the Giants could add a 1,000 yard rusher for the first time since Tiki Barber.
3. Indianapolis Colts: Bradley Chubb, DE/OLB, North Carolina State
Saquon Barkley is gone and Indy had the NFL’s second-lowest Sack total in 2017. Bradley Chubb is the best defender in the draft. This one’s easy.
4. Cleveland Browns: Minkah Fitzpatrick, DB, Alabama
GM John Dorsey likes size, speed and athleticism. Minkah Fitzpatrick provides all of those things. Fitzpatrick is an elite defensive back who will make an immediate impact on any defense. Cleveland could line him up as a Corner or keep him as a Free Safety and let Jabrill Peppers play closer to the line, where he can be most effective.
5. Denver Broncos: Josh Allen, QB, Wyoming
Denver would have to make a lot of sacrifices cap-wise to actually sign Kirk Cousins. With offers from the Jets and the Vikings, two teams with more realistic cap scenarios, it’s unlikely Cousins will suit up in a Broncos uniform. Josh Allen was the best QB at the combine, giving him an edge in this mock draft over Josh Rosen and Baker Mayfield.
6. New York Jets: Josh Rosen, QB, UCLA
Josh Rosen also put together a good combine, and the Jets need a Quarterback ASAP. Rosen’s the most NFL-ready gunslinger in the draft, and he has a higher ceiling than Baker Mayfield. Bingo.
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Quenton Nelson, G, Notre Dame
Tampa’s defense needs a lot of work, but players like Tremaine Edmunds and Denzel Ward may still be a bit of a reach at #7. Quenton Nelson is an absolute stud of a Guard who would instantly become the best O-Lineman on the Bucs.
8. Chicago Bears: Tremaine Edmunds, OLB, Virginia Tech
Calvin Ridley was the last pick, but he didn’t exactly excel at the combine and his lack of size (6’) and top-end speed concern some scouts. Chicago cut Pernell McPhee, adding to the list of Sam Acho, Willie Young and Lamarr Houston as departing Outside Linebackers. Tremaine Edmunds sizes well as a 4-3 Outside Linebacker, and he’s an NFL-ready pass disruptor.
9. San Francisco 49ers: Denzel Ward, CB, Ohio State
The position of the pick stays the same, Denzel Ward has just outshined Josh Jackson in the draft process. If they’re super happy with WR Calvin Ridley or OLB Marcus Davenport, both are possible here too.
10. Oakland Raiders: Roquan Smith, LB, Georgia
No change in Oakland’s pick here. Cornerback Josh Jackson is probably a reach at #10, and Roquan Smith is a sideline-to-sideline playmaker and a natural-born leader.
11. Miami Dolphins: Baker Mayfield, QB, Oklahoma
If I was Miami’s GM, I would cut Ryan Tannehill and start over, but I doubt South Beach is that bold. Tannehill is far from being a reliable option at Quarterback, and Baker Mayfield is one of the best players on the board anyways.
12. Cincinnati Bengals: Connor Williams, OT, Texas
Williams remains Cincinnati’s pick here. He and Kolton Miller proved to be the best Tackles at the combine, and if they see the 6’8” Kolton Miller as a Left Tackle, they could take him and move Cedric Ogbuehi over to a different position. Free agency-barring, it’s down to these two for Cincy.
13. Washington: Derwin James, SS, Florida State
Washington still needs a Defensive Tackle, but they are actively shopping Su’a Cravens and they could get an incredible Strong Safety here in Derwin James. Vita Vea and Da’Ron Payne are also very likely choices.
14. Green Bay Packers: Marcus Davenport, OLB, Texas-San Antonio
This would have been Tremaine Edmunds if he was still on the board, but Marcus Davenport is the next best thing. A young edge rusher is still the biggest need, an Davenport has the size, athleticism and raw ability to make an immediate impact.
15. Arizona Cardinals: Mike McGlinchey, OT, Notre Dame
Well, after his combine performance, Orlando Brown is certainly not going to be the pick. While his ceiling may not be as high as Kolton Miller, Mike McGlinchey is the most start-ready Tackle in this draft.
16. Baltimore Ravens: Calvin Ridley, WR, Alabama
Calvin Ridley didn’t exactly shine at the combine, but he’s still the best Wide Receiver in the draft. Baltimore needs weapons as much as anyone with Mike Wallace leaving, Jeremy Maclin on the chopping block and Breshad Perriman being an absolute bust.
17. Los Angeles Chargers: Vita Vea, DT, Washington
The Bolts will still go after a Defensive Tackle, and Vita Vea still proves to be the best option with his 41 bench reps (Payne has only 27). He’s a trench warrior who will eat up blockers, setting Melvin Ingram and Joey Bosa free on the edges.
18. Seattle Seahawks: Josh Jackson, CB, Iowa
Seattle’s O-Line is among the worst in the league. However, Richard Sherman has played his last days as a Seahawks and Byron Maxwell is leaving, meaning Jeremy Lane, Neiko Thorpe and Shaquill Griffin are the best options. Josh Jackson straight up looks like a Pete Carroll-type Cornerback. Drafting for the O-Line is also a strong possibility.
19. Dallas Cowboys: Da’Ron Payne, DT, Alabama
Dallas will still take an interior lineman with this pick, but with Da’Ron Payne available, he’s a much better option than Maurice Hurst. Payne is a difference-maker who would wreak havoc immediately.
20. Detroit Lions: Derrius Juice, RB, LSU
Detroit has needs in a few places, but Matt Stafford’s never had an every-down back to work with. Derrius Guice is exactly that. His combine didn’t pop off the charts, but it did confirm his status as the second-best Running Back in the draft. Center options James Daniels and Billy Price should get looks here as well.
21. Buffalo Bills: James Daniels, C, Iowa
Eric Wood’s career-ending neck injury leaves a huge hole in the middle of Buffalo’s O-Line. Billy Price’s torn pec pushes his stock back a bit, leaving James Daniels as the top Center prospect. His combine didn’t disappoint either.
22. Buffalo Bills: Lamar Jackson, QB, Louisville
Buffalo may have more pressing needs like Defensive Tackle, but Maurice Hurst and Taven Bryan are stretches at #22 given their current stock. Tyrod Taylor may still be the guy for 2018, but Lamar Jackson earned first-round consideration after his combine showing and GM interviews. He could work nicely behind, and eventually replacing, Tyrod Taylor.
23. Los Angeles Rams: Jaire Alexander
The Rams are in the process of franchise-tagging Lamarcus Joyner, meaning Trumaine Johnson isn’t going to be re-signed. Nickell Robey-Coleman is also unrestricted, and teams will be looking for a Slot Corner like NRC. Jaire Alexander was the best Cornerback at the combine, and he’s currently a better pick than Isaiah Oliver. An edge rusher like Harold Landry is also possible here.
24. Carolina Panthers: D.J. Chark, WR, LSU
My most recent grade on D.J Chark was as a third-rounder, but he put together the best combine out of any Wide Receiver. Courtland Sutton, James Washington and Christian Kirk are all options here, but Chark is currently a hot prospect with a new Nike endorsement deal. Carolina could also add a Guard in Isaiah Wynn or Billy Price if Andrew Norwell isn’t re-signed. Edge rushers could also get looks here.
25. Tennessee Titans: Harold Landry, DE/OLB, Boston College
Plenty of picks have changed before Landry, but he’s still the choice for Tennessee. The explosive pass rusher provides a younger option at a position with Brian Orakpo and Derrick Morgan.
26. Atlanta Falcons: Isaiah Wynn, G, Georgia
Assuming they re-sign Donarti Poe, Guard becomes the biggest need for Atlanta. West Schweitzer has performed at a lower level than his O-Line counterparts, so Georgia's Isaiah Wynn could stay in-state here. Will Hernandez and Billy Price are other Guard options, and they’ll look at D-Tackles and a replacement for Taylor Gabriel at #26 as well.
27. New Orleans Saints: Rashaan Evans, LB, Alabama
A.J. Klein and Craig Robertson are currently slotted to start outside of Manti Te’o at Linebacker. That’s not good. With little cash after they re-sign Drew Brees and Alex Okafor (they have to, right?), they need to address this in the draft. Rashaan Evans is perfect for that hybrid 4-3 Outside Linebacker New Orleans boasts. The Saints will also look at more weapons for Drew Brees like TE Mike Gesicki or Receivers Courtland Sutton and James Washington.
28. Pittsburgh Steelers: Leighton Vander Esch, ILB, Boise State
Ryan Shazier isn’t playing in 2018, and Sean Spence is a free agents. Leighton Vander Esch is a hard-nosed, strong tackler who fits in perfectly with the Steelers’ mentality. Malik Jefferson is another inside option here, otherwise Pittsburgh could take a Tight End (Mike Gesicki?) or whatever Safety they like.
29. Jacksonville Jaguars: Mike Gesicki, TE, Penn State
The Jags are still taking a Tight End, Mike Gesicki just skyrocketed his stock via the combine to be the top option over Dallas Goedert. Will Hernandez and Billy Price could both solve the hole at Guard, and a good receiving options in James Washington and Courtland Sutton also deserve attention here.
30. Minnesota Vikings: Billy Price, G/C, Ohio State
The Vikes will still address the O-Line, but in this mock draft, they get to select Center Pat Elfein’s old teammate. Billy Price is pretty much a clone copy of Elfein, and Minnesota knows how valuable that is. They won’t worry about the torn pectoral. A D-Tackle like Taven Bryan should get attention.
31. New England Patriots: Mike Hughes, CB, Central Florida
Mike Hughes is still the man for New England. If Nate Solder doesn’t re-sign, Kolton Miller will be the pick, but he’ll likely come back. Hughes had a good combine, especially his Cornerback-leading 20 bench reps. Donte Jackson’s combine-leading 4.32 40-yard time puts him in consideration here too. The Pats could also look at hybrid linebackers like Malik Jefferson at #31.
32. Philadelphia Eagles: Kolton Miller, OT, UCLA
The Super Bowl winners’ biggest question mark is Offensive Tackle. Jason Peters is 36 and a favorable candidate to become a cap casualty. Lane Johnson is also a major cap burden, and his health raises questions. Halapoulivaati Vaitai did a solid job as a fill-in starter down the stretch, but are he and Johnson long-term options to protect Wentz? This is why 6’8” dual Tackle Kolton Miller remains the pick. Drafting a wideout or Cornerback are also logical avenues here.
33. Cleveland Browns: Isaiah Oliver, CB, Colorado
34. New York Giants: Malik Jefferson, LB, Texas
35. Cleveland Browns: Courtland Sutton, WR, SMU
36. Indianapolis Colts: Will Hernandez, G, UTEP
37. New York Jets: Harrison Phillips, DL, Stanford
38. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Ronald Jones II, RB, USC
39. Chicago Bears: James Washington, WR, Oklahoma State
40. Denver Broncos: Brian O'Neill, RT, Pittsburgh
41. Oakland Raiders: Chukwuma Okorafor, OT, Western Michigan
42. Miami Dolphins: Dallas Goedert, TE, South Dakota State
43. New England Patriots: Arden Key, DE/OLB, LSU
44. Washington: Taven Bryan, DT, Florida
45. Green Bay Packers: Martinas Rankin, G/T, Mississippi State
46. Cincinnati Bengals: Sam Hubbard, DE, Ohio State
47. Arizona Cardinals: Christian Kirk, WR, Texas A&M
48. Los Angeles Chargers: Mason Rudolph, QB, Oklahoma State
49. New York Jets: Frank Ragnow, C, Arkansas
50. Dallas Cowboys: Ronnie Harrison, S, Alabama
51. Detroit Lions: Rasheem Green, DL, USC
52. Baltimore Ravens: D.J. Moore, WR, Maryland
53. Buffalo Bills: Donte Jackson, CB, LSU
54. Kansas City Chiefs: Justin Reid, S, Stanford
55. Carolina Panthers: Carlton Davis, CB, Auburn
56. Buffalo Bills: Maurice Hurst, DT, Michigan
57. Tennessee Titans: Braden Smith, G, Auburn
58. Atlanta Falcons: Jessie Bates, S, Wake Forest
59. San Francisco 49ers: Lorenzo Carter, LB, Georgia
60. Pittsburgh Steelers: Marcus Allen, S, Penn State
61. Jacksonville Jaguars: Orlando Brown, OT, Oklahoma
62. Minnesota Vikings: Derrick Nnadi, DL, Florida State
63. New England Patriots: Jerome Baker, LB, Ohio State
64. Cleveland Browns: Hayden Hurst, TE, South Carolina
Green Bay Packers Big Board:
1. Tremaine Edmunds, OLB, Virginia Tech
2. Denzel Ward, CB, Ohio State
3. Marcus Davenport, OLB, UT-San Antonio
4. Derwin James, SS, Florida State
5. Quenton Nelson, G, Notre Dame
6. Roquan Smith, LB, Georgia
7. Harold Landry, OLB, Boston College
8. Josh Jackson, CB, Iowa
9. Connor Williams, OT, Texas
10. Jaire Alexander, CB, Louisville