CAULFIELD CUP DAY

Race 1

Love the way Sylpheed relished the line last start in an extremely impressive performance, the step up in distance will only suit, very hard to beat here. Once again the Sydney form looks to clearly hold key here, Skylight Glow has good form around Yankee Rose, Global Glamour, Foxplay and Swear. First race Melbourne way of going and stepping down from a mile to 1400m are both negatives.

Numbers 5-3-10-14

Race 2

As has been the theme of the spring so far the Sydney horses hold favouritism. I like a Melbourne horse however in Curvature to spoil the party. He was great First-up behind Benz and Ken’s dream having to make a sweeping run on the corner and battled on well, the step up in distance will suit and he’ll be fitter here. The testing Materal here is Morton’s Fork, he’s never run a bad race in his life and Saturday should be no expection, O’shea and Avdulla are a quality duo so expect him to be in the finish. Acatour also doesn’t know what a bad race is, He’s be impressive winning in Sydney and is drawn to get the right run but I think the market has him too short

Numbers 6-4-7-2

Race 3

This race is perfectly set up for Super Cash, was dominant fresh winning here three weeks back and will only take improvement from that run. The speed will be set up with likes of Aunty Mo, Aegean Sea and Chloe in Paris all going forward, assuming there is no track bias I’m very confident about Super Cash. Vezalay looked very good in a jumpout with the emerging Star Turn, should box seat and be the testing material to Super Cash. Flippant has had two recent trials which suggests a forward run first up however being off the scene for 8 months leads me look for others first. Chloe in Paris was outclassed last start, back to a reasonable grade her, should take some catching out near the lead.

Numbers 7-6-8-4

Race 4

Sebring Dream’s run in the Thousand Guineas was exceptional being the best of the back markers to make ground. Is this a step down in class, should lob out the back and be very strong late in the race, Moqueen attacked the line in her last start win and Randwick so the trip should hold no concerns,She should also be thundering late. Savvan is an improving type, this is no doubt a big step up in grade from a maiden win at Kembla but the Cummings team have a high opinion of her and C.Williams abord only boosts my confidence that she has a future, should go forward and I think she’s capable running a big race.

Numbers 2-1-4-3

Race 5

The form around the Caulfield Guineas looks to dominate here, Good Standing was threewide the trip and was brave in a blanket finish only finishing 2.3L from the winner, draws to get a lovely run this time and will significantly improve, 2000m will suit. Seaburge was two strides from winning the Guineas, however could’ve run his grand final and I can’t see much improvement coming. Kent got on the wrong leg last start and really relished the line like he needs 2000m.

Numbers 2-1-8-3

Race 6

Very happy to be with It’s Somewhat, Is the class in the race and is a winner unlikely his rivals, Ran third two starts ago behind Winx and Hauraki. From the inside gate Bowman should take a sit and with even luck in running should win. Maurus’ last start performance behind Real Love was outstanding, his problem is often putting together consistent runs but on that form he’ll be in the finish here. Vanbrugh can run a good race is what is a very weak race.

1-3-4

Race 7

Again the Sydney form looks superior in this race, Danish Twist ran terrific first-up behind Takedown and Our Boy Malachi who is right in the market for the Caulfield Sprint, should improve in fitness second up, as long as he can get an even run from the gate should be right in the finish. I think with First Seal can turn the tables on Tycoon Tara, just ran out of conditioning first up, being fitter and has trialled well should run a big race. No knock on Tycoon Tara’s form again, trusting the Sydney form here.

6-1-2

Race 8

This is one of the weaker Caulfield Cup’s in recent memory, Jameka is flying and is clearly the best of the Locals. Scottish, Articus and Excopheric all look like very smart horses from the International camp. It’s hard to line those form lines up. I’m happy to stick with Jameka as the proven runner of the race. Around 3.8-4.00 is her right price. Pemberley is the knockout hope at 41-1 in an average Caulfield Cup.

Numbers 11-4-9-17

Race 9

The form around Hellbent will prove to be the best form of the spring similar to the Malaguerra form of last spring. It was an unbelievably good run last start giving Sheidel windburn on the way past, Sheidel came out last week and won impressively, the form stacks up and should be too good for these however 2.10 is short enough. 2-1 a place for Wild Rain is almost the best value for the day, ultra consistent and should land the run of the race and be running second here. Our Boy Malachi is an honest customer who with a good run can run well, the gate is my issue though.

Numbers 5-4-2-1

Race 10

Voodoo Lad is flying, somehow came 6 wide around the bend at the Valley two starts back and made up five lengths to beat Keen Array who has since come out and won, last start sat wide in the Sir Rupert Clarke and was still too good form them, I’ll take the group one form here, 3.60 is great value and is my best of the day. Takedown is a smart but have queries about running this way of going and don’t think he’s up to the class of Voodoo Lad. Lucky Liberty ran fourth two starts back to Hellbent in one of the best races Sale has ever seen, won last start at Caulfield and will get a good run in transit at odds. Hopfgardan and Durendel can both run good races

Numbers 12*-11-9-16